I’ve made reference to my history of faulty predictions. I thought I would do a little research. Here’s what I think is a comprehensive list:

Jun 18, 2003
I predict Cho Chang or Hagrid will die in Harry Potter Book V.

Wrong on both counts

April 13, 2004
I predict at least one LA Dodgers player will go insane by the end of the season.

I don’t believe it happened. (They were listening to William Hung’s CD prior to every game)

June 29, 2004
I predict Neville will be the Half Blood Prince in Harry Potter Book VI

I get roundly ridiculed in the comments by fans who insist we know he’s a pureblood. However I am sticking to my guns. We know both of his parents were aurors, but we only need 1 grandparent a muggle to call someone Half-blood. We’ll see in a month.

Oct 8, 2004
I predict Dumbledore will die in HP Book VI

We will find out in a month

Oct 22, 2004
I predicted the Cardinals would beat the Red Sox in 7 games.

Red Sox in 4.

Nov 2, 2004
The 2004 Election Prediction:

* 269-269 electoral tie (popular vote irrelevant, so I won’t predict).
* The New US House gets to decide President. There will be more Republicans than Democrats in the new US House, so they will pick Bush.
* The New US Senate gets to pick VP. Democrats will pick up enough seats, they will pick Edwards.
* We’ll have the first Split-Executive since Adams-Jefferson.

Bush will say or do something incredibly stupid.
Something new incredibly stupid, but this time it will be noticed.
And impeachment proceedings will begin by the end of February.

I count 6 predictions above. None came true.

Feb 2, 2005
I predict Paramount will have a new Star Trek television show in the fall of 2005, and it will be based on Starfleet Academy

This prediction doesn’t look good.

Feb 8 2005
I predict Deep Throat was William Safire (Nixon’s speechwriter)

If we are to believe W. Mark Felt, this isn’t the case.

March 1, 2005
I make a prediction about a Supreme Court decision on the 10 commandments

We should hear any day now.

Counting my Michael Jackson prediction, sixteen total predictions.
1 correct.
11 incorrect.
4 outstanding.

If I get 3 of those 4, I’ll have 25%. Most likely I will only get 1 or 2.