With something like 98% of the votes in from the Iowa Caucuses:
38% - Kerry
32% - Edwards
18% - Dean
11% - Gephardt
Instead of his former plans to fly to NH tomorrow morning, Gephardt will be on a plane to St. Louis…it is assumed by the pundits he will be dropping out of the race. With those results, that seems likely.
Dean who the media was declaring the front runner is now “bleeding” according to them. It’s probably an apropos metaphor.
My quick analysis, which means absolutely nothing, is that it appears Iowans have a rabid distaste for negativity, and Dean and Gephardt’s attacking each other in the last few weeks sent many caucus goers searching for someone else, and they split almost evenly between Kerry and Edwards…with a slight favoring to Kerry. Maybe because he had higher name recognition, or people felt his veteran status could help against Bush.
I’m hopeful Kerry can beat Gen. Wesley Clark (and Dean) in NH. Unlike Michael Moore, I am not too fond of Clark. He said he couldn’t remember whether or not he voted for Reagan. I can tell you who I’ve voted for for President in every election, and I don’t trust anyone who says they can’t. (Either they’re lying, or they didn’t spend a lot of time thinking about their choice..which indicates they don’t think who they vote for is important. Either way isn’t good.)
If Clark and Dean can be eliminated from the race, I’ll be happy. I feel I can support either Edwards or Kerry in a race against Bush. I’m sure I’d end up voting for Clark or Dean…but I’d be voting against Bush…I feel I could vote for Kerry or Edwards. (I’d vote for Kucinich too, but he is too far behind in the polls to stand a chance, and I also don’t think he’d have a chance against Bush. I’d be voting against Bush if Lieberman or Sharpton were the candidate, but they too appear to be too far behind in the polls to matter.)
Will I vote for Kerry or Edwards in the Missouri Primary? Not too sure. I’m gong to have to analyze the positions of the two some more. I had been assuming I would be voting for Gephardt…